Derek Tran

This is my personal/professional website. I am a Ph.D. Candidate in Economics and a Teaching Assistant at the University of California, Irvine. My primary fields of interest are Applied Macroeconomics, Finance, and Econometrics. I will be graduating in 2024, and looking for roles as a Data Scientist, Analytics, Economist, and Banking.


Job Market Paper

Central Bank Intervention and Bank Liquidity:
Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program
Revise and Resubmit (Journal of Banking and Finance)

PDF | Slides (Full, Short) | Short Presentation | GitHub

How do banks use external funding sources when faced with an unexpected liquidity shock? This paper uses loan-level transactions from the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) to understand how a bank's decision to borrow reserves from the discount window (DW) affected its lending behavior during the COVID-19 crisis. Implementation of the PPP can be seen as an exogenous shock to the liquidity demand for banks, independent of their financial conditions. By exploiting this independence, I find a causal relationship between use of DW and the number of PPP loans extended by large banks but not small banks. While both types used the DW in the absence of a long-term funding source, usage of the DW almost doubled PPP lending for large banks. After the establishment of a long-term funding source, however, this effect was reduced to 69% due to substitution away from the DW. These findings suggest that in the presence of an unexpected liquidity shock, the DW plays a critical role in extending short-term liquidity to the banking sector.


References

Guillaume Rocheteau
Professor, Economics, UCI
grochete@uci.edu

Jack Liebersohn
Assistant Professor, Economics, UCI
cjlieber@uci.edu

Ekim Muyan
Senior Economist, Amazon
emuyan@amazon.com

William Branch
Chair and Professor, Economics, UCI
wbranch@uci.edu